Non-TCU Games of the Week
The Battle for the Iron Pan could very well be the best game of the weekend, although we certainly hope for a resounding victory for the Frogs. After a busy week of exciting showdowns, the fourth week is rather light on the plot. Sleepy weeks like this tend to be filled with quirks – what games are ready to entertain and surprise?
# 7 Texas A&M (-5) against # 16 Arkansas – September 25, 2:30 p.m., CBS
The Razorbacks are looking to defeat the entire Southwestern Conference this season, having previously stepped on Rice and crushed Texas. Now, they will enter the palace of their most famous alumnus with a chance of another renowned Top 10 victory over the Aggies. Meanwhile, TAMU retained that preseason top-10 ranking despite looking terrible in a breakout win at Colorado and two wins against the low-level G5s. Starting Aggie QB Haynes King is expected to be out this week and substitute Zach Calzada was acceptable, if unimpressive, in relief. The A&M defense was outstanding, ranking 3rd in Expected Added Points (EPA) per game, per CFB-Graphs.com. If the Hogs can generate early points on turnovers or special teams, forcing Calzada to beat them, Arkansas will have a strong case. However, I tend to think that this elite defense will slow the down enough. [name redacted] offensive and allow the Aggies to secure a victory that feels more comfortable on the scoreboard than it did on the field.
My choice : Texas A&M win (-195); Texas A&M Hedges (-5); Total less than 47.5
# 12 our Lady vs # 18 Wisconsin (-6.5) – September 25, 11:00 a.m., FOX
I’m already bored just thinking about this game, but that’s where we are. It is at the same time as TCU-SMU, so easy to avoid. Can the reincarnation of Jack Coan return to kill usurper Graham Mertz? Check out the Big Yawn on Saturday! I continue to have FSU 2014 vibes with this Notre Dame team – barely surviving games they had to win big and everyone knows they are not one of the best teams but if they end up unbeaten , the committee will be obliged to include them in the playoffs. Whoever wins this game will be unduly considered ‘good’ and I don’t think we will have a chance to remove the Irish from the national scene just yet.
My choice : Notre Dame wins (+195); Notre-Dame blankets (+6.5); Total over 46.5
# 25 Kansas St. (+190) to Oklahoma St. (-6) – September 25, 6:00 p.m., ESPN +
Both of these teams have somewhat surprising victories over high-quality G5 teams to enter the conference game without defeat. One of those teams will leave this game with the hope of being a viable candidate to reach the Big 12 Championship game, while the other will likely be knocked out of that consideration.
I imagine it’s a sucker bet – “How can an unbeaten ranked team be a TD underdog for an unranked team !?” Well, they’re on the road and their starting QB is injured, so maybe supporting the Wildcats is a square move. It’s more about whether Spencer Sanders can prove it – he and the Cowboys offense have been lackluster and conceited in three games, barely surviving Boise, Tulsa and FCS Missouri State to open the season, with a average of just 24 points per game on this list. . 24 points might be enough to survive K-State, but I’m counting on Deuce to let loose in Stillwater. Note: it’s disappointing that Disney put this game on ESPN +; Of course, the Hateful 8 doesn’t guarantee big TV audiences, you won’t even get it broadcast on TV.
My choice : K-State wins (+190); K-State blankets (+6); Total over 46
State of San José in western Michigan (-3) – September 25, 1:00 p.m., ESPN +
WMU is coming off their best post-PJ Fleck-era victory, beating Pitt; SJSU just had one of its best seasons in 2020, as West Mountain Champions. It could very well be MWC Champ vs. MAC Champ when we look back on this season. We think of all the great non-conference games of the P5, but it’s also fun to remember those measuring stick games for the G5. This one features a high level G5 QB game, with Kaleb Eleby and Nick Starkel playing at a very high level and are sneaky sleepers to eventually be drafted into the NFL. I think the Spartan defense makes the difference and forces Eleby to his first INTs of the season and leaves Kalamazoo with the W.
My choice : San José State wins (+125); The State of San José covers (+3); Total less than 63.5
- Tennessee at # 11 Florida (-20) – Maybe it’s because this game mattered when I was a kid (yes I’m very old), but I have a feeling the Flights go into the swamp and look better than the Alabama la last week, which makes this game a lot scarier for the Gators than it should be.
- # 9 Clemson (-10) to NC state – Is this the game where Clemson finally lights the rockets to show off all that potential, or do the Tigers pointlessly pass another outclassed opponent, or does Raleigh’s road environment lead to a 2sd loss and probable elimination from the playoffs?
- LSU (-2.5) to Mississippi State – Leach against Orgeron. These teams have already disappointed this season, which will plunge the most into despair? An LSU loss here could really make Tigers fans revolt against Orgeron, despite having one of the best seasons of all time just two years ago.
- UTSA in Memphis (-3) – Super fun offenses with excellent sneaky talent. Both teams are undefeated, including a P5 victory. The winner of this game must be ranked.
- Texan technology in Texas (-7.5) – Will the Longhorns look forward to their trip to Fort Worth next week? I’m not sure if we’re ready to put UT on high alert here, but don’t be surprised if Tech is keeping him close and maybe Matt Wells is lowering the heat in his hot seat.
- West Virginia at # 4 Oklahoma (-17) – Much has been said that Spencer Rattler and the Sooners are vulnerable. I’m not buying it, but the Mountaineers just had a big ranked win and could take advantage of this alleged vulnerability.